21 October 2019

Projections 2019: Astros Open as Big Favorites versus Party Crasher Nats

With a late blast, the Houston Astros announced that they would wait no longer to claim the American League crown. They head to the World Series as heavy favorites against the first-timers from Washington.

Projections as of 21 October 2019

The betting markets agree, selling the Nationals at an even steeper discount than my model would imply. It's not just about home field advantage: the Astros are far and away the best team in baseball, sporting a much better RPScore than the Nats. Of course, the same was true about the Dodgers.

Should the Nationals falter, O my brothers, remember sometimes thy little Anthony that was. Amen. And all that cal.

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