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The Astros and Dodgers have taken very different paths to the World Series. The Dodgers have but one setback, a nigh-inconsequential game four loss to the Cubs in the NLCS. The Astros rode the rollercoaster of a back-and-forth ALCS against the Yankees before coming out on top in seven games.
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An Astros win over the Yankees in seven games was the most likely outcome projected by my model at 17%.
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The Astros face an uphill climb in the 2017 World Series, with the Dodgers 55-45% favorites. The most likely outcome is a Dodgers win in six games.
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At no point this season did I think my model would be the one underrating the Dodgers, but the bettors think it is: Bovada has the Dodgers as 60-40% favorites at post time.
Stop by on Wednesday to see how my numbers change for the Astros and Dodgers.
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