28 October 2017

MLB Postseason 2017: Astros Heavy Frontrunners for First Time This Postseason

The Houston Astros took a 2-1 lead in the 2017 World Series and now enjoy a 68% chance of winning their first ever title. The Los Angeles Dodgers championship probability now stands about where it did at the beginning of the NLCS vs. Chicago.

World Championship Probabilities by Playoff Team over Time

The most likely discrete outcome is now an Astros win at home in game five. The Dodgers best bet is to force a seventh game in LA.

Estimated Probability of Discrete Series Results

The Dodgers can turn the tide tonight. If LA evens up the series tonight, they'll reclaim home field advantage and a slight lead in championship probability. On the other hand, Houston has a chance to push the Dodgers to the edge of elimination. Check back tomorrow for updated projections.

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