26 October 2016

Cleveland Indians Slight Series Faves after Game One

This post is one in a series about the 2016 MLB Playoffs and World Series.

The Cleveland Indians won game one of the 2016 World Series behind the dominant outing of starting pitcher Corey Kluber. It was enough to re-establish the Tribe as the World Series favorites at 55%. That's not terrible news for the Chicago Cubs: 55-45 is virtually a coin flip in this sport, and a 45% disadvantage down 1-0 in the Fall Classic is abnormally favorable, this thanks to their (shrinking) 58 point advantage in RPScore.

The sweep is obviously off the table for the Cubbies, but the simulator has Cleveland winning out eight times out of every 100 runs. The most likely scenario now, barely, is an Indians win at home in six games; the Cubs' best bet is to run the series to seven. I for one wouldn't complain if they did.

With a win in game two, the Cubs will likely re-establish their position as World Series favorites. With a loss, they're likely to face their longest odds to win the Commissioner's Trophy all postseason. How will Cleveland and Chicago stand as they head to Wrigley? Tune in soon to find out.

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