01 October 2014

MLB Postseason Projections 2014: Angels, Dodgers, Nationals Current Faves

This post is part of a series tracking the postseason series win probabilities throughout the 2014 MLB Playoffs. Click here to enjoy the full series of posts.

Kauffman Stadium • Photo credit: Jimmy Spencers

Following the most exciting game so far in the one-game wildcard playoff era, Kansas City's win has served to clarify somewhat the postseason picture. There won't be any fancy charts and graphs until tomorrow, after the NL Wild Card is settled, but here are the preliminary numbers:

Wild Card: Pittsburgh 57% to advance over San Francisco

League Division Series
  • LA Angels 61% to advance over Kansas City
  • Baltimore 55% over Detroit
  • Washington 58% over either Pittsburgh or San Francisco
    • Pittsburgh 25% to advance
    • San Francisco 17%
  • LA Dodgers 63% over St. Louis

American League Championship Series
  • LA Angels 35% to advance
  • Baltimore 28%
  • Detroit 21%
  • Kansas City 16%

National League Championship Series
  • Washington 33% to advance
  • LA Dodgers 33%
  • St. Louis 14%
  • Pittsburgh 13%
  • San Francisco 7%

World Series
  • LA Angels 18% to win
  • Washington 18%
  • LA Dodgers 18%
  • Baltimore 14%
  • Detroit 9%
  • Kansas City 7%
  • Pittsburgh 7%
  • St. Louis 6%
  • San Francisco 3%

Check back tomorrow for a more detailed and aesthetically pleasing look at each team's chances for baseball immortality in the 2014 MLB Postseason. In the meantime, visit the Power Scores page to see where each team stands in RP's ratings system. Scores update following the completion of each day's games.

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