![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjB5lX4qTZcXA_VmpQmqNYMtHV_lfods3OycYL2F2FbemRIcazTCxRIDlm5XEpvW1XiuKp0ha0RzcNsgzWRQch4i-bEB2IZbRylyE84lqYNFJRia6vjN1SaPyaBaYz7W7Sej11Ml8qvOY8/s1600/progressive-10-26.png)
The Houston Astros evened up the 2019 World Series last night against the Washington Nationals, but the two teams' prospects are anything but even. The favorite is still 61% to win it all, but as of this morning that favorite is from Houston. The most likely discrete outcome is Stros in six.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmkUM1jR_ZsNDWNMX9BWl4Y3PYriEn5uD2B20yAR-yGZYFUcejMMH34D9kzfxupQG9lNFXM3rSccBrNFIY8kVyZ2E6Pb5ApaT4SJ4NCBNHYrZ2u-TizgV8UKnrJw0xr6sYyrgm4uDfvFI/s1600/ws-10-26.png)
Touts at 5Dimes remain more bullish on Houston than my numbers.
I wrote at the start that this was a record of models and simulations, and running them beside Henry towards the evening glass of beer, I found the one prayer that seemed to serve the autumn mood: O Baseball Gods, You've done enough, You've robbed me of enough, I'm too tired and old to learn to love, leave me alone forever.
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