29 October 2016

Indians, Favorites Again, Steal One in ChiTown

This post is one in a series about the 2016 MLB Playoffs and World Series.

The first World Series game on the North Side of Chicago in 71 years was an instant classic, if not a favorable one for the home club. A 1-0 pitchers duel put the Cleveland Indians up 2-1 in the 2016 World Series, which they are now projected to win 58% of the time.

There is a scant 15% chance, according to my simulator, that the Indians can win-out and finish the series in Chicago, clinching their first title since 1948; the most likely outcome is that the Tribe wins it all in game six at home. The Chicago Cubs, on the other hand, will need to push the series back to Cleveland if they're to have a chance to end their 108 year drought—an 85% possibility. There's a 43% chance of a World Series game seven.

No comments: