18 October 2016

Indians Are New World Series Faves on Verge of Sweeping Jays

This post is one in a series about the 2016 MLB Playoffs and World Series.

With their third consecutive victory over the Toronto Blue Jays, the Cleveland Indians—at 43%—are the new favorites to win the 2016 World Series, just barely edging out the NL favorite Chicago Cubs. The Jays, once the favored AL squad, stare into the abyss of a dismal 3% championship expectancy.

At 43%, the Indians' championship expectancy hit a 2016 postseason high, while the Jays' 3% is a playoffs low. Last night's contest had no noticeable effect on the chances of the National League's competitors.

The Blue Jays now need to do the near-unprecedented and come back from a 3-0 ALCS deficit. My simulator gives them a 6% chance of doing so. Conversely, the simulator gives the Indians a 46% chance of sweeping and clinching north of the border.

Senior Circuit action resumes tonight as well, with the series knotted at 1-1 but the Cubs still with a 63-37 advantage over the Los Angeles Dodgers. With one elimination game this afternoon and a tiebreaker tonight, there's sure to be major movement for each team's World Series chances. Check back tomorrow to find out how much.

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