15 October 2017

MLB Postseason 2017: Dodgers and Astros Inch Closer to World Series

Both the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Houston Astros are now heavy favorites to advance to the World Series. The Yankees have a 4:1 shot at rebounding from yet another 2-0 deficit while the Cubs are looking at 3:1 for a chance to defend their title.

Estimated Series Win Probabilities for Playoff Teams



For the first time in the 2017 postseason, there's a strong bifurcation in the field.

World Championship Probabilities by Playoff Team over Time


The Yankees' best hope is still to force a seventh game in Houston, whereas the Astros are most likely to put this away in five or six.

Estimated Probability of Discrete Series Results


A Dodgers win in six games remains the most likely NLCS outcome.

Estimated Probability of Discrete Series Results


The most likely World Series outcome is still a Dodgers victory over Houston in seven games.



Tune in tomorrow to see how the second game of the 2017 National League Championship Series affects the World Series hopes for the four remaining playoff squads.

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