25 August 2017

Ratings and Projections through 8/24: Same Three-Way Tie in Wild Card Race, Different Cast

Once again, I project that three teams will finish tied for the second American League Wild Card spot. Last week it was the Kansas City Royals, Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers. This week, one AL contender has replaced the Angels. Which one is it?

Projected End-of-Season Win Totals with 80% Prediction Intervals


Top Teams through 8/24:
  1. Los Angeles Dodgers (.641)
  2. Houston Astros (.597)
  3. New York Yankees (.578)
  4. Cleveland Indians (.576)
  5. Washington Nationals (.572)

18 August 2017

Ratings and Projections through 8/17: Three Teams Project to Tie for Second AL Wild Card Spot

The playoff field remains crowded with three teams projected to tie for the second American League Wild Card spot and wholly 19 teams either likely to reach the playoffs or miss by less than the margin of error.

Projected End-of-Season Win Totals with 80% Prediction Intervals


Top Teams through 8/17:
  1. Los Angeles Dodgers (.639)
  2. Houston Astros (.594)
  3. Cleveland Indians (.581)

11 August 2017

Ratings and Projections through 8/10: Dodgers Aside, Playoff Race Wicked Tight

Eighteen MLB teams project to finish with a spot in the 2017 postseason or within five games of earning one. The margin of error for my projections this time of year is between five and six games. The playoff race is damn close.

Projected End-of-Season Win Totals with 80% Prediction Intervals


Top Teams through 8/10:
  1. Los Angeles Dodgers (.648)
  2. Houston Astros (.605)
  3. New York Yankees (.577)

04 August 2017

Ratings and Projections through 8/3: Dodgers Have a 9:1 Shot at Record 117 Wins

The Dodgers are projecting to win 111 games and have an outside shot at at a record 117. Meanwhile, the top three rated teams remain the same.

Projected End-of-Season Win Totals with 80% Prediction Intervals


Top Teams through 8/3:
  1. Los Angeles Dodgers (.614)
  2. Houston Astros (.615)
  3. Cleveland Indians (.578)