07 October 2010

Phils Join Yanks as Postseason Faves, Rays Tumble



TBR MIN TEX NYY PHI SFO CIN ATL AL NL
LDS 33.9% 24.7% 66.1% 75.3% 69.6% 47.4% 30.4% 52.6%

LCS 16.3% 12.1% 28.7% 42.9% 36.1% 22.2% 15.0% 26.7%

World Series 8.2% 5.7% 13.5% 24.4% 17.4% 10.0% 7.1% 13.6% 51.8% 48.2%

Update 12:47 PM EDT: I misread my Reds@Phils spreadsheet. Projected outcome now has Phils 3-0 over Reds, but the Phils "only" project as a 11:2 shot to win it all.

After an eventful LDS Day 1, the Yanks padded their lead while the Rays tumbled. Beginning the day as a 7:1 shot, Tampa Bay now faces 12:1 odds to win it all after being shut down by Cliff Lee. The Yanks jumped from 11:2 to 4:1 favorites by beating the Twins in Minneapolis. Roy Halladay and the Phillies, who completed only the second no-hitter in postseason history, improved their chances from 15:2 to 11:2.

Of course, these numbers aren't quite fair to the Giants and Braves who play their first game tonight. Expect the Braves to leapfrog the Phillies if they win tomorrow. Otherwise, well, we'll just have to wait and see.


Projected LDS Outcomes:
Rangers 3-1 over Rays
Yankees 3-1 over Twins
Phillies 3-0 over Reds
Braves 3-1 over Giants

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